Taxation
Taxation is used to finance public expenditure or to service the national debt; and it can be used to promote personal and social welfare, alter conduct, or change the distribution of income or wealth. It affects the decisions of households to save, supply labour and invest in human capital, and the decisions of firms to produce, create jobs, invest and innovate. Nearly all forms of taxation can be expected to have adverse effects on productivity and economic growth.
Introduction
This article deals with the social and microeconomic effects of taxation at a given state of public expenditure. The macroeconomic effects of taxation, and the effects of varying combinations of taxation, public expenditure and debt, are dealt with in the article on fiscal policy. The taxonomy of taxation is discussed on the addendum subpage. A glossary of the terms shown in italics in this article is available on the related articles subpage
Tax structures
Effects of taxation
Every combination of the various forms of taxation has a different effect upon welfare, but they all have certain common features. In the terminology of economic theory, each of them has an income effect, and most of them have substitution effects. The income effect is the reduction in the resources available to taxpayers that is brought about by the transfer of resources to government. It occurs, therefore, without affecting the total of the country's resources. The substitution effect, on the other hand, may result in a reduction in the country's resources by bringing about a move to less productive activity. An increase in income tax may, for example, induce a skilled worker to reduce his working hours and spend more time on untaxed do-it-yourself activities. The resulting reduction in output would have the indirect effect of reducing national welfare. The substitution effect may alternatively have a direct effect of welfare by prompting taxpayers to buy products other than those that they would otherwise prefer. A tax on biscuits, for example, may prompt buyers to switch to an untaxed but less enjoyable product, such as bread. The size of the substitution effect depends upon the extent to which the tax varies with a level of activity (the marginal tax rate) and to the responsiveness of the level of that activity to its price (the elasticity of supply or demand). Taxes that have no effect upon supply or demand, such as a land-value tax or a poll tax, have no substitution effect, and activities whose level is relatively insensitive to price (such as purchases of bread) have relatively small substitution effects. Other things being equal the more numerous the persons or activities on which the tax is leveled (ie the larger the tax base), the smaller is likely to be the substitution effect because the lower are the marginal tax rates
A second common feature is the effect of taxation upon the distribution of income and wealth. Taxation may be expected to alter the distribution of income or wealth. The term ‘’vertical distribution’’ refers to distribution among people having different levels of income, and the term ‘’progressive tax’’ denotes a tax which bears progressively more heavily on higher- income taxpayers. However, a tax which is the same whatever the taxpayer’s income, such as a poll tax, is termed ‘’regressive’’ because it is harder for low-income taxpayers to afford it. The term ‘’horizontal distribution’’ is correspondingly taken to refer to the distribution of taxation among taxpayers who have similar levels of income, but the term is open to a variety of interpretations. The reduction of, or exemption from, tax liability for specific classes of potential taxpayer is often referred to as a ‘’tax break’’ and is indistinguishable from subsidies in favour of those classes. Tax breaks for specific activities, such as research and agriculture - or for specific classes of organisation, such as charities, are intended to encourage those activities or organisations; and tax breaks for specific classes of individual such as the elderly or mothers with small children, are often intended to alter vertical distribution.
The burden of taxation may not be confined to those who pay the tax, however. Producers may be able to pass a part of any tax increase taxes on to consumers by increasing prices or on to employees by reducing wages, and employees may be able to pass a part of any income tax increase on to producers by raising wages. The extent to which such shifting of the tax burden occurs depends upon conditions in the relevant product and labour markets.
Aggregate effects
It is generally accepted that endogenous growth theory provides a strong presumption that the net effect of taxation is to reduce economic growth as a result, for example, of its negative influence upon innovation and upon the development of human capital. A survey of the empirical evidence has concluded, however, that it does not support that aggregate presumption, although it does throw light upon the effects of some tax instruments.[1].
Effects of individual taxes
Personal income tax and social security contributions
Taxes on employment income and compulsory contributions to social security schemes can affect the supply of labour as a result both of their price effect - to the extent that they makes employees try to compensate for their loss of after-tax earnings - and their substitution effect - to the extent that they make employees willing to sacrifice their reduced net earnings in exchange for the benefits of increased leisure. Empirical evidence tends to indicate that income tax has a negative effect that is larger for females than for males, and that it is greater for both when tax rates are progressive[2]. The combined influence of employment income taxation and means-tested state benefits can also reduce the supply of labour as a result of the operation of the unemployment and poverty traps[3]. Taxes on employment income can also affect the demand for labour as a result of the tax wedge that is driven between he cost of labour to employers and the net payment received by employees. The magnitude of the effect upon unemployment depends upon the price flexibility in the relevant labour market, because it depends upon the extent to which employees are able to pass a tax increase on to their employers [4]. There is also evidence that high tax rates for low earners can increase unemployment among low-skilled employees, especially at relatively high levels of the minimum wage[5].
The substitution effect of personal taxation may be expected to reduce the motive for saving as a result of the reduced after-tax return but the income effect may prompt an increase in savings in order to preserve a desired level of retirement income. Empirical evidence concerning the magnitude of the net effect has yielded widely differing findings but there is general agreement that the outcome is a reduction in savings[6]. There is also some evidence to suggest that income tax may reduce human capital as a result of its effect upon the willingness of parents to spend money on their children[7].
The above effects suggest the possibility that high marginal tax rates have negative consequences for productivity, and an OECD study has indicated that progressive income tax does, in fact, cause significant reductions in GDP per head (in addition to any effects arising from the reduced acquisition of human capital), [8].
Taxation is used to finance public expenditure or to service the national debt; and it can be used to promote personal and social welfare, alter conduct, or change the distribution of income or wealth. It affects the decisions of households to save, supply labour and invest in human capital, and the decisions of firms to produce, create jobs, invest and innovate. Nearly all forms of taxation can be expected to have adverse effects on productivity and economic growth.
Introduction
This article deals with the social and microeconomic effects of taxation at a given state of public expenditure. The macroeconomic effects of taxation, and the effects of varying combinations of taxation, public expenditure and debt, are dealt with in the article on fiscal policy. The taxonomy of taxation is discussed on the addendum subpage. A glossary of the terms shown in italics in this article is available on the related articles subpage
Tax structures
Effects of taxation
Every combination of the various forms of taxation has a different effect upon welfare, but they all have certain common features. In the terminology of economic theory, each of them has an income effect, and most of them have substitution effects. The income effect is the reduction in the resources available to taxpayers that is brought about by the transfer of resources to government. It occurs, therefore, without affecting the total of the country's resources. The substitution effect, on the other hand, may result in a reduction in the country's resources by bringing about a move to less productive activity. An increase in income tax may, for example, induce a skilled worker to reduce his working hours and spend more time on untaxed do-it-yourself activities. The resulting reduction in output would have the indirect effect of reducing national welfare. The substitution effect may alternatively have a direct effect of welfare by prompting taxpayers to buy products other than those that they would otherwise prefer. A tax on biscuits, for example, may prompt buyers to switch to an untaxed but less enjoyable product, such as bread. The size of the substitution effect depends upon the extent to which the tax varies with a level of activity (the marginal tax rate) and to the responsiveness of the level of that activity to its price (the elasticity of supply or demand). Taxes that have no effect upon supply or demand, such as a land-value tax or a poll tax, have no substitution effect, and activities whose level is relatively insensitive to price (such as purchases of bread) have relatively small substitution effects. Other things being equal the more numerous the persons or activities on which the tax is leveled (ie the larger the tax base), the smaller is likely to be the substitution effect because the lower are the marginal tax rates
A second common feature is the effect of taxation upon the distribution of income and wealth. Taxation may be expected to alter the distribution of income or wealth. The term ‘’vertical distribution’’ refers to distribution among people having different levels of income, and the term ‘’progressive tax’’ denotes a tax which bears progressively more heavily on higher- income taxpayers. However, a tax which is the same whatever the taxpayer’s income, such as a poll tax, is termed ‘’regressive’’ because it is harder for low-income taxpayers to afford it. The term ‘’horizontal distribution’’ is correspondingly taken to refer to the distribution of taxation among taxpayers who have similar levels of income, but the term is open to a variety of interpretations. The reduction of, or exemption from, tax liability for specific classes of potential taxpayer is often referred to as a ‘’tax break’’ and is indistinguishable from subsidies in favour of those classes. Tax breaks for specific activities, such as research and agriculture - or for specific classes of organisation, such as charities, are intended to encourage those activities or organisations; and tax breaks for specific classes of individual such as the elderly or mothers with small children, are often intended to alter vertical distribution.
The burden of taxation may not be confined to those who pay the tax, however. Producers may be able to pass a part of any tax increase taxes on to consumers by increasing prices or on to employees by reducing wages, and employees may be able to pass a part of any income tax increase on to producers by raising wages. The extent to which such shifting of the tax burden occurs depends upon conditions in the relevant product and labour markets.
Aggregate effects
It is generally accepted that endogenous growth theory provides a strong presumption that the net effect of taxation is to reduce economic growth as a result, for example, of its negative influence upon innovation and upon the development of human capital. A survey of the empirical evidence has concluded, however, that it does not support that aggregate presumption, although it does throw light upon the effects of some tax instruments.[1].
Effects of individual taxes
Personal income tax and social security contributions
Taxes on employment income and compulsory contributions to social security schemes can affect the supply of labour as a result both of their price effect - to the extent that they makes employees try to compensate for their loss of after-tax earnings - and their substitution effect - to the extent that they make employees willing to sacrifice their reduced net earnings in exchange for the benefits of increased leisure. Empirical evidence tends to indicate that income tax has a negative effect that is larger for females than for males, and that it is greater for both when tax rates are progressive[9]. The combined influence of employment income taxation and means-tested state benefits can also reduce the supply of labour as a result of the operation of the unemployment and poverty traps[10]. Taxes on employment income can also affect the demand for labour as a result of the tax wedge that is driven between he cost of labour to employers and the net payment received by employees. The magnitude of the effect upon unemployment depends upon the price flexibility in the relevant labour market, because it depends upon the extent to which employees are able to pass a tax increase on to their employers [11]. There is also evidence that high tax rates for low earners can increase unemployment among low-skilled employees, especially at relatively high levels of the minimum wage[12].
The substitution effect of personal taxation may be expected to reduce the motive for saving as a result of the reduced after-tax return but the income effect may prompt an increase in savings in order to preserve a desired level of retirement income. Empirical evidence concerning the magnitude of the net effect has yielded widely differing findings but there is general agreement that the outcome is a reduction in savings[6]. There is also some evidence to suggest that income tax may reduce human capital as a result of its effect upon the willingness of parents to spend money on their children[13].
The above effects suggest the possibility that high marginal tax rates have negative consequences for productivity, and an OECD study has indicated that progressive income tax does, in fact, cause significant reductions in GDP per head (in addition to any effects arising from the reduced acquisition of human capital), [8].
Corporate income tax
There is no apparent advantage to be gained from adding a tax on company profit to its taxation as part of personal income taxation - although it was suggested in the Meade Report that it might be considered to be a payment for the privileges of limited liability[14]. Corporate taxation may be expected to reduce productivity in several ways. It can alter the relative costs of capital and labour in such a way as to move resources into less productive activities. It imposes compliance costs on firms and administrative costs on governments, thereby diverting resources away from productive activities. It may reduce incentives to invest and innovate, and it may impair technology transfer by deterring foreign direct investment[15]. The deductability of interest payments favours established corporations that can readily finance their investments by borrowing at the expense of innovative, knowledge-based and recently established firms that are riskier or less able to provide collateral, so have to obtain most of their funding from shareholders. In fact empirical evidence at the firm level[16] and at the industry level[17] confirm the conclusion that corporate taxation reduces productivity. However, alternative forms of corporate taxation (such as the use of 100% "capital allowances" or the adoption of "flow-of-funds" taxation ) may mitigate some of the above effects.
Taxes on consumption
Consumption taxes do not affect savings because they apply the same rate to current spending as they do to future spending, and a uniform tax on all purchases would not be expected to affect economic activity, except for the possibility that their effect on purchasing power might add to labour costs as a result of wage bargaining. However, no consumption tax effect was revealed by a recent empirical study of the effect of taxation on employment [18]. Consumption taxes are considered "regressive", to the extent that they are levied on goods that account for a relatively high proportion of the spending of poorer families - and exemptions of selected products are sometimes introduced to mitigate that effect.
Property taxes
The principle effect of the taxation of personal property and wealth is redistributive. There is little evidence of its influence upon the level of economic activity and and it has long been recognised that a tax on the rent from (unimproved) land cannot affect economic activity [19] .
The tax mix
Empirical evidence suggests that, as between the traditional sources of tax revenue, corporate taxes are the most harmful for growth, followed by personal income taxes, and then consumption taxes, and that property taxes are the least harmful[20].
Environmental taxation
The purpose of the environmental taxes that were introduced in the latter part of the 20th century was to prevent the loss of economic welfare that would otherwise result from various forms of environmental pollution. They were supplemented in the 21st century by taxes that were introduced to guard against the danger of the very large long-term economic costs of adapting to global temperature rises of several degrees centigrade. A review undertaken for the British government has concluded that the economic costs of measures to avert that outcome will be substantially outweighed by reductions in the cost of adaptation [21]. A review by economists at the National Bureau of Economic Research has concluded that environmental tax revenues do not significantly alter economic constraints on tax policy, and that environmental taxes need to be justified primarily by the cost-effective achievement of environmental goals[22].
References
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Gareth Myles: Economic Growth and the Role of Taxation, OECD 2007[1]
- ↑ Costas Meghir and David Phillips: Labour Supply and Taxes, Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2008
- ↑ Mike Brewer, Emmanuel Saez, and Andrew Shephard: Means-testing and Tax rates on Earnings, Institute of Financial Studies, 2008
- ↑ Daveri and Tabellini: Unemployment and Taxes: Do taxes affect the rate of unemployment?, Economic Policy Vol. 15 Issue 30, 2000
- ↑ Financing Social Protection: the Employment Effect, Chapter 4, OECD Employment Outlook, 2007
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 William Dougan and Lei Zhang: Consumption Taxes, Income Taxes, and Saving: Evidence from OECD Countries, September 2009
- ↑ Peren Arin and Xiaoming Li> The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Human Capital Accumulation: Evidence from OECD Countries, OECD 2005
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 Åsa Johansson, Christopher Heady, Jens Arnold, Bert Brys and Laura Vartia: Tax and Economic Growth, Economics Working Paper ECO/WKP(2008)28, OECD 2008
- ↑ Costas Meghir and David Phillips: Labour Supply and Taxes, Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2008
- ↑ Mike Brewer, Emmanuel Saez, and Andrew Shephard: Means-testing and Tax rates on Earnings, Institute of Financial Studies, 2008
- ↑ Daveri and Tabellini: Unemployment and Taxes: Do taxes affect the rate of unemployment?, Economic Policy Vol. 15 Issue 30, 2000
- ↑ Financing Social Protection: the Employment Effect, Chapter 4, OECD Employment Outlook, 2007
- ↑ Peren Arin and Xiaoming Li> The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Human Capital Accumulation: Evidence from OECD Countries, OECD 2005
- ↑ The Structure and Reform of Direct Taxation, chapter 12, page 227
- ↑ Rachel Griffith, James Hines and Peter Birch Sorensen:International Capital Taxation (draft for the Mirrlees enquiry), 2009
- ↑ Jens Arnold and Cyrille Schwellnus: Do Corporate Taxes Reduce Productivity and Investment at the Firm Level? Cross-Country Evidence from the Amadeus Dataset, CEPII, September 2008
- ↑ Laura Vartia: How do Taxes affect Investment and Productivity? - An Industry-Level Analysis of OECD Countries, OECD working paper ECO/WKP(2008)64, December 2008
- ↑ Stephen Nickell: Employment and Taxes, Centre for Economic Performance Discussion Paper No 634, London School of Economics, May 2004
- ↑ Alfred Marshall: Principles of Economics page 240 (first published 1890), available as an ebook from the Online Library of Liberty
- ↑ Jens Arnold: Do Tax Structures Affect Aggregate Economic Growth? Empirical evidence from a panel of OECD countries, OECD Working paper ECO/WKP(2008)51, October 2008
- ↑ Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change, UK National Archives 2008
- ↑ Don Fullerton, Andrew Leicester and Stephen Smith: Environmental Taxes, NBER Working Paper No. 14197, July 2008
Taxes on consumption
Consumption taxes do not affect savings because they apply the same rate to current spending as they do to future spending, and a uniform tax on all purchases would not be expected to affect economic activity, except for the possibility that their effect on purchasing power might add to labour costs as a result of wage bargaining. However, no consumption tax effect was revealed by a recent empirical study of the effect of taxation on employment [1]. Consumption taxes are considered "regressive", to the extent that they are levied on goods that account for a relatively high proportion of the spending of poorer families - and exemptions of selected products are sometimes introduced to mitigate that effect.
Property taxes
The principle effect of the taxation of personal property and wealth is redistributive. There is little evidence of its influence upon the level of economic activity and and it has long been recognised that a tax on the rent from (unimproved) land cannot affect economic activity [2] .
The tax mix
Empirical evidence suggests that, as between the traditional sources of tax revenue, corporate taxes are the most harmful for growth, followed by personal income taxes, and then consumption taxes, and that property taxes are the least harmful[3].
Environmental taxation
The purpose of the environmental taxes that were introduced in the latter part of the 20th century was to prevent the loss of economic welfare that would otherwise result from various forms of environmental pollution. They were supplemented in the 21st century by taxes that were introduced to guard against the danger of the very large long-term economic costs of adapting to global temperature rises of several degrees centigrade. A review undertaken for the British government has concluded that the economic costs of measures to avert that outcome will be substantially outweighed by reductions in the cost of adaptation [4]. A review by economists at the National Bureau of Economic Research has concluded that environmental tax revenues do not significantly alter economic constraints on tax policy, and that environmental taxes need to be justified primarily by the cost-effective achievement of environmental goals[5].
References
- ↑ Stephen Nickell: Employment and Taxes, Centre for Economic Performance Discussion Paper No 634, London School of Economics, May 2004
- ↑ Alfred Marshall: Principles of Economics page 240 (first published 1890), available as an ebook from the Online Library of Liberty
- ↑ Jens Arnold: Do Tax Structures Affect Aggregate Economic Growth? Empirical evidence from a panel of OECD countries, OECD Working paper ECO/WKP(2008)51, October 2008
- ↑ Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change, UK National Archives 2008
- ↑ Don Fullerton, Andrew Leicester and Stephen Smith: Environmental Taxes, NBER Working Paper No. 14197, July 2008